MLB matchup
09/16/20258:10 PMMinute Maid ParkHouston, Texas

Rangers78 – 77vsAstros77 – 78

Sharp side
TBD
Model value
Sharp total
TBD
Model value

Model forecast

Projected outcome

A projection is not available because one or both teams do not have sufficient qualifying history.
Matchup intelligence

Team grades

TeamLineupStarterOverall
Texas RangersCC+C
Houston AstrosBBB
Sportsbook context

Game lines

A dash means that book has not supplied a usable price.

ESPN BET
TeamMoneylineRun line
TEX-120-1.5 (+140)
HOU+100+1.5 (-165)
Total 7.5Over -115Under -105
Recent form

Last 10 games

Texas Rangers

Overall7–3–0W–L–TRun line7–3–0W–L–PO/U5–5–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/15/25@ HOUL 3–6L +1.5O 8.5
9/14/25@ NYML 2–5L +1.5U 7.5
9/13/25@ NYMW 3–2W +1.5U 8.5
9/12/25@ NYMW 8–3W -1.5O 7.5
9/10/25vs MILW 6–3W +1.5O 7.5
9/9/25vs MILW 5–4W +1.5O 8.5
9/8/25vs MILW 5–0W +1.5U 8.5
9/7/25vs HOUW 4–2W +1.5U 8.5
9/6/25vs HOUL 0–11L +1.5O 6.5
9/5/25vs HOUW 4–3W +1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Houston Astros

Overall5–5–0W–L–TRun line6–4–0W–L–PO/U4–6–0O–U–P
DateOpponentResultRun lineTotal
9/15/25vs TEXW 6–3W -1.5O 8.5
9/14/25@ ATLL 3–8L -1.5O 8.5
9/13/25@ ATLW 6–2W -1.5U 8.5
9/12/25@ ATLW 11–3W +1.5O 8.5
9/11/25@ TORL 0–6L +1.5U 8.5
9/10/25@ TORW 3–2W +1.5U 8.5
9/9/25@ TORL 3–4W +1.5U 8.5
9/7/25@ TEXL 2–4L -1.5U 8.5
9/6/25@ TEXW 11–0W -1.5O 6.5
9/5/25@ TEXL 3–4L -1.5U 7.5

W win · L loss · T tie · P push · O over · U under · — unavailable.

Team comparison

Projected team stats

Parenthetical values show each team’s average over the last 365 days.

Projected team statistics for Rangers and Astros
Statistic
N/A (8.0)HitsN/A (8.0)
N/A (1.5)DoublesN/A (1.5)
N/A (1.1)Home RunsN/A (1.3)
N/A (13.0)Total BasesN/A (13.8)
N/A (3.2)WalksN/A (3.2)
N/A (8.6)StrikeoutsN/A (8.2)
N/A (0.5)Stolen BasesN/A (0.3)

Starting pitcher context

Expected starters

RangersMerrill KellyConfirmed
AstrosAJ BlubaughConfirmed

Starting lineups

Texas RangersConfirmed
  1. 1Josh SmithSS
  2. 2Wyatt LangfordLF
  3. 3Jake Burger1B
  4. 4Joc PedersonDH
  5. 5Kyle HigashiokaC
  6. 6Josh Jung3B
  7. 7Alejandro OsunaRF
  8. 8Michael HelmanCF
  9. 9Cody Freeman2B
Houston AstrosConfirmed
  1. 1Jeremy PenaSS
  2. 2Carlos Correa3B
  3. 3Jose Altuve2B
  4. 4Christian Walker1B
  5. 5Zach ColeRF
  6. 6Jake MeyersCF
  7. 7Victor CaratiniC
  8. 8Yainer DiazDH
  9. 9Jesus SanchezLF


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